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GDPUKONSgrowthQ3 2026

UK GDP estimate · Q3 2026

The Office for National Statistics publishes its first estimate of UK GDP for Q3 2026, covering July–September. Growth data sets the context for Bank of England rate decisions and the inflation-growth trade-off heading into 2027.

FRI 13 NOV 2026 07:00 GMT · 02:00 ET ONS — GDP first estimate
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Where things stand going in

Q2 2026 GDP growth
+0.4%
Quarter-on-quarter; services sector led expansion
Annual GDP (Q2 2026)
+1.1%
Year-on-year; below long-run average
UK CPI (Sep 2026)
2.4%
Still above 2% BoE target
BoE policy rate
4.50%
Held at September 2026 meeting

What gets published

How to read it

1

2

3

On the day

NOV 2026 · times in ET
07:00
ONS publishes GDP first estimate RELEASE

Headline Q3 2026 GDP growth rate released; markets react to deviation from consensus.

07:30
Sector breakdown available RELEASE

Services, manufacturing, and construction output data in statistical bulletin.

08:00
United Kingdom page updated EXPLORER

Explorer reflects updated growth context for the UK.

Afternoon
GDP story in News NEWS

UK Q3 GDP: what the growth number means for Bank of England rate decisions.

Around this event

THU 18 DEC · 12:00 GMT

BoE rate decision · December 2026

Bank of England
WED 19 NOV · 07:00 GMT

UK CPI · November 2026

Office for National Statistics

Frequently asked questions

When is UK GDP estimate · Q3 2026 released?
UK GDP estimate · Q3 2026 is scheduled for FRI 13 NOV 2026 at 07:00 GMT · 02:00 ET. The data covers Q3 2026 (July–September). The next release in the series is expected on Q3 2026 GDP second estimate · December 2026.
What does Office for National Statistics (ONS) publish in this release?
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How do I read the headline inflation number?
undefined — undefined undefined — undefined undefined — undefined For a deeper explanation of how consumer price indices are constructed, the IMF's primer on inflation is a reliable starting point.
Where can I follow the release live?
The official source is ONS — GDP first estimate. Times shown are in ET — see the time-zone table on this page for your local equivalent. The Federal Reserve's economic data page and ECB statistics portal also carry same-day updates.
How does this compare to the previous release?
Going into this release: Q2 2026 GDP growth was +0.4% (Quarter-on-quarter; services sector led expansion); Annual GDP (Q2 2026) was +1.1% (Year-on-year; below long-run average); UK CPI (Sep 2026) was 2.4% (Still above 2% BoE target); BoE policy rate was 4.50% (Held at September 2026 meeting). Historical releases and revisions are archived in the World Bank WDI inflation series.
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