CENTRAL BANKEURO AREAGOVERNING COUNCIL

ECB monetary policy decision · October 2026

The ECB Governing Council sets the three key ECB interest rates. With headline HICP at 2.9% and approaching target, markets are watching for signals of further easing.

Thursday 29 October 2026 14:15 CET Online · ecb.europa.eu
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Where things stand going in

Previous release · 12 Sep 2026
ECB deposit rate
4.0%
Current key rate
EA HICP, September flash
2.9%
Down from 3.2%
EA core HICP (flash est.)
~2.5%
Stable
Next Governing Council
Dec
11 December 2026

What gets published

Rate decision

The Governing Council announces changes (or no change) to the deposit facility rate, main refinancing rate, and marginal lending rate.

Monetary policy statement

Brief statement outlining the policy rationale and assessment of the inflation outlook.

Press conference

ECB President Lagarde holds a press conference at 14:45 CET with the monetary policy statement and Q&A.

How to read it

1
The deposit facility rate

This is the rate banks receive on excess reserves — effectively the ECB's policy rate floor. A cut here signals easing monetary conditions.

2
Forward guidance language

The ECB has moved to "data dependent, meeting by meeting" guidance. Watch for any language about the pace or conditions for further cuts.

Real interest rate →
3
Staff projections context

October is not a projection meeting (those are in March, June, September, December). The October decision relies on current data and the September projections.

Core inflation →

On the day

October 2026 · times in CET
14:15
ECB rate decision published RELEASE

Monetary policy decisions posted on ecb.europa.eu.

14:45
President Lagarde press conference LIVE

Press conference and Q&A on the policy outlook.

Evening
Analysis in News NEWS

Decision in context of current euro-area inflation and ECB targets.

Around this event