DATA & METHODS

Seasonal adjustment

Removing regular calendar patterns so month-to-month changes can be compared.

2 min read · Reviewed September 2026

In plain words

Seasonal adjustment removes predictable calendar effects — cheaper flights in September, higher food prices at Christmas — so you can tell whether this month's move is real or just seasonal. The 12-month rate is naturally seasonal-adjustment-free; MoM rates are not.

Frequently asked questions

Why is some CPI data seasonally adjusted?

Prices have predictable patterns — cheaper flights in autumn, higher energy bills in winter. Seasonal adjustment strips these out so you can tell whether a month-on-month move reflects real price pressure or just the calendar.

Cite this term

InflationTheGuide. "Seasonal adjustment." InflationTheGuide Glossary, reviewed September 2026. https://inflationtheguide.com/glossary/seasonal-adjustment